Adopted 2050 v1.0 Population & Employment Forecasts

This dataset contains tabular data at county, municipal/planning district, and zonal levels for the Adopted 2050 v1.0 Population & Employment Forecasts. DVRPC uses 2050 v1.0 to as the forecast vintage nomenclature, as it is the first forecast to use 2050 as a horizon year. Analytical Data Report (ADR 21014) documents the forecasting process and methodologies.

As a part of DVRPC’s long-range planning activities, the Commission is required to maintain forecasts with at least a 20-year horizon, or to the horizon year of the long-range plan. Allocation of growth is forecasted using a land use model, UrbanSim, and working closely with member county planning staffs. DVRPC has prepared regional, county, and municipal-level population and employment forecasts in five-year increments through 2050, using 2015 Census population estimates and 2015 National Establishments Time Series (NETS) employment data as the base.

Note: while 2019 land use model results are provided, the forecast was only adopted for 2015, 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045, and 2050.

While the forecast is not adopted at the transportation analysis zone (TAZ) level, nor for intervening years between those ending in "0" or "5", it is allocated to these zones for use in DVRPC’s travel demand model in our UrbanSim land use model. TAZ data conforms to municipal/district level adopted totals for population and employment. It also generates a number of other attributes required for the travel demand model.

This dataset updates:  As Needed
Contact Data Steward
Field Value
Posting Frequency As Needed
Methodology

Methods are documented in forthcoming Analytical Data Report: ADR21014 https://www.dvrpc.org/Products/ADR21014
Source Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission (DVRPC)
Source URL
Category
  • Demographics & Housing
  • Economy
  • Long-Range Plan
Data Steward Contact Mike Ruane
Data Steward Contact Email Mike Ruane
Dataset ID 8f75dffc-69d0-4e20-899b-271cf4ff9095
License DVRPC Data License